Wednesday, March 7, 2012
Super Tuesday Aftermath
As I sit typing out this blog entry, on Super Tuesday, the consensus appears to be that the Republican nominee for President will not be settled on this day. That could well be the case. Both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are virtually deadlocked nationally in some polls. In the latest Gallup poll, however, Mitt Romney leads Santorum by 16% (38-22%) nationwide. I've see this polling change dramatically in a week or less. So, I'm not willing to put a lot of stock in that right now. On Super Tuesday, Santorum could possibly take the prize plum of Ohio insofar as delegates. That would give him additional momentum that would virtually erase whatever lead Romney has nationwide. The frontrunner has changed so many times until I have lost count. But, even former Arkansas governor and former Republican Presidential candidate, Mike Huckabee, has stated it appears Republicans are starting to get behind Romney. Many polls have said that Mitt Romney does better against Barack Obama than any other Republican candidate. So, depending on what happens when polls close on Super Tuesday, Romney may be the guy that gains momentum even if Santorum wins Ohio. There are many states at stake. Romney could well win the majority of states, if not also the majority of delegates at stake.
Personally, I think if Romney does win the majority of states and delegates on Super Tuesday, a subtle nod and wink of acknowledgment will take place throughout the Republican ranks. The Republican nomination has lasted this long because the conservative base was not convinced Romney is a true conservative. There are things in his past that would bear this out as truth. However, he appears to be a born again conservative right now. So, it is my not so expert opinion that Romney could very easily be acknowledged as the "guy" the Republicans send against President Obama. Whoever the Republican nominee is will most certainly have his work cut out for him. An incumbent President is extremely difficult to beat. However, one must point out that Bill Clinton accomplished this feat quite easily in '92. The reason? The economy stupid. Now, Obama knows this. He is trumping up a recovering economy. I won't get into why I find that ludicrous. Suffice it to say that whatever recovery we are now experiencing is in big trouble as long as gas prices continue to rise. Obama is not invincible. He has baggage that could make him very beatable. But, it is going to take a concerted effort of all Republicans to get behind one man now. Hopefully, that one man will be decided on Super Tuesday.
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