Saturday, February 4, 2012
Israeli Strike on Iran Imminent?
News from U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta is that a military strike against Iran is imminent. Israeli rationale for a strike now is that Iran is at the point of being invulnerable to a air strike that would destroy their ability to build nuclear weapons. Amazingly, Secretary Panetta stated a time frame from April to June of this year. The only possible reason that he would give an actual time frame is that Israel is acting alone in this action and without U.S. support. The U.S. has stated that harsh sanctions have taken place and having the desire effect on Iran. They point to Iran's threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz as an indication. However, there is no proof that the additional sanctions have had the desired economic hardships that many have hoped for since China and Russia refuse to participate in the sanctions.
There is not much more that can be said. Israel is apparently going to take unilateral action to prevent Iran from having a nuclear capability. Looking at it from an Israeli perspective, one can understand why they must act now. Soon, Iran will have an impregnable barrier that will prevent the Israeli Air Force from destroying Iran's nuclear program. Iran claims that they are building nuclear power plants to provide power to their country. No one really believes that. I can't say that I disagree with them. Suppose we had Iran on our border (although the lawlessness of Mexico is a close second), we would do likewise. We would not let an unstable government like Iran have nuclear weapons. In fact, I am positive we would have acted long ago. Yet, we want the Israelis to wait for another round of sanctions to take hold. Iran is laughing in the face of the West over the sanctions. Their threat of blocking the Strait of Hormuz was nothing more than a bluff by Iran. They did not want to take on the U.S. Navy.
So, what will happen after an Israeli attack? I think we can pretty much guess what will happen. Terrorism will reach new highs in both Israel and the United States. No country in the Western Hemisphere will be exempt from a terrorist attack. Can they mount a 911 type of attack? That is doubtful since that sort of an attack takes years to plan. But, they can hit soft targets like shopping malls, schools, subways and so on. The only thing we can do is be prepared and ready in the event of a terrorist attack on the United States. Of course, if we discover Iran is behind any terrorist attack on U.S. soil, President Obama had best retaliate and retaliate quickly. Iran understands only one thing; military strength. We will have to impose our will on that insane government to make them understand attacking the USA is a big mistake.
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